The S&P 500 is 1.7% below its high; the Momentum factor is 8.4% below its own and 51.3% of stocks trade above the 200-day average.
TrendToWealth · Weekly Market Update · Issue 007

Stock Market Near Its High. Will Leadership Change?

This week’s setup

The S&P 500 remains close to its high, but participation has narrowed and the Momentum factor sits further below its own peak.

Market context
Trend: Strong
 
Negative
 
Weak
 
Positive
 
Strong
Risk
Low & Falling
Position
Near Trend
Data through 2026-09-18

Major market returns

YTD returns · data through 2026-09-18

Broad commodities DBC
+47.3% YTD
Emerging markets EEM
+23.2% YTD
U.S. small companies IJR
+16.5% YTD
S&P 500 IVV
+12.6% YTD
International developed EFA
+11.0% YTD
U.S. aggregate bonds AGG
-1.3% YTD
Chart of the Week
Momentum Factor vs. Value Factor vs. S&P 500 — 2026 YTD
Momentum+24.2%
  
Value+10.6%
  
S&P 500+12.6%
  
Data through 2026-09-18
View the full chart →

The stock market remains near its high

S&P 500: 1.7% below its 52-week high

The equity market is holding near its high.

•Trend: Strong · Risk: Low & Falling · Position: Near Trend

Leadership could change

Breadth 51.3% · Momentum factor +24.2% YTD

The gap could signal new leadership emerging, or fading participation. Too early to choose.

•Breadth fell from 56.3% last week and 71.5% four weeks ago.
Read the full issue →

Continue reading: https://www.trendtowealth.com/market-updates/2026-09-18

Educational content only; not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.